4 players you absolutely have to draft at their current ADP

• Since there is not much competition in the backfield, Las Vegas Raiders RB Zamir White could take on a major contract role in 2024: Despite the volume potential, White is selected on average as RB27 in the best-ball drafts this spring.

Amary CooperProduction with Deshaun Watson below the center in 2023 indicates another big year on the horizon: Cooper averaged just over five catches and 96 yards per game in his five games with Watson last season.

• Checkout PFF's Fantasy Football Rankings: PFF's fantasy football rankings include ratings from our experts, projections, and our strength of play metrics.

Estimated reading time: 6 minutes

Although the offseason is not far into the game, fantasy football best ball drafts and mock drafts are already in full swing. This allows managers to get a first look at players' perceived value before the season begins. That makes it time to evaluate potential fantasy football values. Here are five must-pick players in the 2024 fantasy football draft, assuming their average draft position (ADP) remains stable through the season.

ADP data comes from FantasyProp.

QB Will Levis, Tennessee Titans

Current ADP: QB23

There is no certainty that the second-year quarterback Will Levis is the Titans' quarterback of the future. However, there is also no doubt that the Titans have given him a great opportunity to prove himself with many improvements on offense, which could have a big impact on fantasy production in year two.

The new additions go far beyond the signing of wide receivers Calvin Ridley And Tyler Boydbecause they should be massive upgrades that are opposed to each other DeAndre Hopkins. Tennessee also made a big effort to rebuild the offensive line after a pretty disastrous 2023 season in which it finished eighth in the league with a PFF pass-blocking score of 57.1. The Titans signed center Lloyd Cushmanberry in free agency and drafted Alabama tackle JC Latham sixth overall – two solid additions that will help Levis stay afloat.

Levis led the league as a rookie with an average depth of target of 11.1 yards, a testament to his willingness to push the ball far. His receivers, however, couldn't help him much, having the second-highest drop rate on pass attempts. Levis' rocket arm, above-average athleticism and aggressive play style paired with improved weapons on offense could be just the recipe for a breakout season in 2024.

RB Zamir White, Las Vegas Raiders

Current ADPModel: RB27

The Las Vegas Raiders let 2019 first-round pick Josh Jacobs Walk in free agency after accounting for a whopping 70.3% of the team's rush attempts at the running back position over the past five seasons. Despite the huge need, they haven't done much to fill the position this offseason, signing free agents Alexander Mattison and the selection of rookie Dylan Laube from the sixth round. All of this points to a potentially significant role for the former fourth-round pick Zamir White heading into his third NFL season.

Although White had a relatively limited workload in 2023, Jacobs' season-ending injury provided him with an ideal opportunity to showcase his ability to lead the backfield in a starting position. White started each of the Raiders' final four games to end the season and averaged just over 23 touches per game as the lead back. Although he only scored a single touchdown during that span, he had 100% of the team's runs in the red zone and inside the five-yard line. That valuable role is almost certain to be one that Mattison won't fill, as he failed to score a single touchdown in 24 red zone opportunities (and nine inside the five) last season.

With question marks at the quarterback position, the Raiders offense isn't particularly productive. But despite White's limited touchdown production, he finished among the top 16 running backs in three of four starts. Consider him a volume-based option that could provide a very solid base on a weekly basis.

WR Amari Cooper, Cleveland Browns

Current ADPModel: WR31

Is there a more underrated wide receiver in fantasy football than Amary Cooper right now? When it comes to the The Cleveland Brownsthe recency bias undeniably favors the tight end David Njokubecause he achieved the undeniable breakthrough with Joe Flacco below the middle. However, most people forget that Amary Cooper Was Deshaun Watson's first choice as a pass receiver during the five games he started and finished healthy.

In 2023, the Watson-Cooper duo was one of the most efficient pairings in the league. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Watson and Cooper ranked as follows among QB-WR duos with 30 or more targets:

  • Second in EPA per target (0.90)
  • Third in passer rating on goals (130.3)
  • Sixth in yards per target (12.3)
  • Fifth in success rate (64.1%)

Cooper led the team with 7.8 targets and 96 receiving yards per game with Watson at quarterback, as he scored 15 or more fantasy points in all but one of those five games. If the two can continue to build on that chemistry in 2024, Cooper is expected to be a hot asset in fantasy football leagues.

Current ADP: TE12

Dallas Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson is entering his third NFL season after reaching TE9 in fantasy points per game as Dak Prescott's second receiverand somehow he's still being drafted outside of the top 10 tight ends in the fantasy draft at this point in the offseason. That has to make sense.

While Ferguson lacks the athleticism, the opportunities he should continue to get in the Cowboys' offense (barring injury) put him much closer to the TE6-TE8 range than his current draft price of TE12. In 2023, Ferguson ranked seventh among tight ends with 96 targets on the year and eighth in yards (761) with ideal use in the red zone and end zone. He ranked top-three among tight ends in both red zone targets (24) and end zone targets (nine) – the most valuable opportunities on the field for a position with such weekly variance dependent on touchdowns.

Ferguson's use can be expected to give him a stable weekly floor for the 2024 season, making him an ideal target in the late rounds of fantasy drafts for those who Sam LaPorta And Travis Kelceof the world.